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Fitch
Downgrades TV18 to 'BBB(ind)'; Revises Outlook to Negative
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National
Long-term Rating
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'BBB(ind)'
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NR1,250m
long-term loan
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'BBB(ind)’
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INR670.1m
term-loan
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'BBB(ind)’
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INR850m
fund-based working capital limits
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'BBB(ind)'/'F2(ind)'
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INR70m
non fund-based working capital limits
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'F2(ind)'
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INR250m
commercial paper/short-term debt programme
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'F2(ind)'
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Fitch
Ratings-Mumbai/Singapore-27 February 2009: Fitch Ratings has today
downgraded India's Television Eighteen Limited's (TV18) National
Long-term Rating to 'BBB(ind)' from 'A(ind)' and revised its rating
Outlook to Negative from Stable. The ratings of the following
instruments are affected as follows:
INR1,250m
long-term loan downgraded to 'BBB(ind)' from 'A(ind)'
INR670.1m
term-loan downgraded to 'BBB(ind)' from 'A(ind)'
INR850m
fund-based working capital limits downgraded to 'BBB(ind)'/'F2(ind)'
from 'A(ind)'/'F1(ind)'
INR70m non
fund-based working capital limits downgraded to 'F2(ind)' from
'F1(ind)'
INR250m
commercial paper/short-term debt programme downgraded to 'F2(ind)'
from 'F1(ind)'
The rating
action reflects the greater-than-expected deterioration in TV18's
financial profile over the nine-month period ended 31 December 2008
(9mFY09) and deployment of the large cash balances available with the
company over the period to support its subsidiaries and group
companies. TV18 reported a EBITDA loss of INR104.1m in 9mFY09 on a
consolidated basis, primarily due to the significant launch expenses
and development costs of Web 18, and to some extent due to expenses
related to its print media businesses including one time charges.
There is also pressure on profitability on TV18's core news
operations business due to a significant slowdown in the renewal of
advertising contracts. In addition, the company has utilised a
substantial portion of its liquid balances (around INR6.76bn as of
FYE08, and INR2.6bn as of end-9mFY09) in investments in group
companies, primarily in Infomedia18 and direct investments into other
group companies. At the same time, the company has also raised
significant fresh debt to meet the increased requirement of working
capital and supporting its investments. Consequently, net debt levels
increased substantially to INR6.6bn at end-9mFY09 compared to
negative net debt levels at FYE08. The Negative Outlook reflects the
expectation of ongoing pressure on operating metrics in light of the
difficult economic environment. With earnings and cash flow pressures
expected over FY10 for many sectors, Fitch expects advertising
revenues, being largely discretionary in nature, to remain under
pressure over the medium term.
However,
the risks are partly offset by the likelihood of increased spending
on advertising during upcoming elections and the final budget
coverage after a new government is formed, which could support
revenues in the near-term. In addition, TV18 has been actively
undertaking cost cutting measures across its businesses, which along
with the one-time nature of some of Web18's losses due to initial
launch expenses and charging off development costs, could help stem
operating losses. In addition, TV18 has put on hold its earlier
investment/expansion plans into new businesses such as print media,
which could reduce the extent of negative free cash flows to be
funded through FY10. Fitch has factored the expected benefits from
these initiatives into the ratings. Continued pressure on key credit
metrics due to earnings and cash flow pressures and/or group
investments could put further pressure on TV18's ratings. Conversely,
realisation of benefits from the company's ongoing operational
initiatives, coupled with a revival in advertising revenues
materially benefiting credit metrics could lead to the Outlook being
revised back to Stable, as could material reductions in net debt
levels through equity infusions and/or monetisation of equity stakes
in subsidiaries/group companies.
TV18's
ratings reflect its market leadership in India's business news
channels. Both the Hindi and English business channels, through CNBC
and CNBC Awaaz, of the company are market leaders in their respective
segments, supported by consistently high quality content and a
credible journalist team. Although working capital requirements
remain high for the company, short-term liquidity remains supported
by existing cash balances, which are sufficient to meet immediate
repayments over the next 4-5 months, although the company remains
exposed to refinancing risk over the short- to medium-term.
On a
consolidated basis, TV18 reported revenues of INR3.5bn for 9mFY09,
although EBITDA remained negative. This compares with consolidated
revenues of INR3.9bn and an EBITDA of INR805m in FY08. The company
recorded interest expenses of around INR752m, which was partly funded
through its cash balances in the absence of adequate operating cash
flows.
Contacts:
Nikhil Gupta, Mumbai, Tel: +91 22 40001732/e-mail:
nikhil.gupta@fitchratings.com; Salil Garg, New Delhi, Tel: +91 11
43567244e-mail: salil.garg@fitchratings.com; Priyamvada Balaji: +91
22 40001742/e-mail: priyamvada.balaji@fitchratings.com.
Media
Relations: Shivani Sundralingam, Singapore, Tel: + 65 6796 7215,
Email: shivani.sundralingam@fitchratings.com.
Note to
Editors: Fitch's National ratings provide a relative measure of
creditworthiness for rated entities in countries with relatively low
international sovereign ratings and where there is demand for such
ratings. The best risk within a country is rated 'AAA' and other
credits are rated only relative to this risk. National ratings are
designed for use mainly by local investors in local markets and are
signified by the addition of an identifier for the country concerned,
such as 'AAA(ind)' for National ratings in India. Specific letter
grades are not therefore internationally comparable.
Fitch's
rating definitions and the terms of use of such ratings are available
on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings,
criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all
times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of
interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies
and procedures are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section
of this site.
***
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